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12-Years Observation of Seasonal Variation of Atmospheric Neutrino Flux with IceCube

  • Icecube Collaboration
  • University of Delaware
  • RWTH Aachen University
  • Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
  • Adelaide University
  • Loyola University Chicago
  • German Electron Synchrotron
  • University of Canterbury
  • University of Wisconsin-Madison
  • Université libre de Bruxelles
  • University of Copenhagen
  • TU Dortmund University
  • University of Kansas
  • Marquette University
  • Harvard University
  • University of Utah
  • Michigan State University
  • South Dakota School of Mines & Technology
  • University of California at Irvine
  • Technical University of Munich
  • University of California at Berkeley
  • Ohio State University
  • Ruhr University Bochum
  • Uppsala University
  • University of Rochester
  • University of Maryland, College Park
  • University of Padua
  • University of Alabama
  • Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz
  • Georgia Institute of Technology
  • Queen's University Kingston

Research output: Contribution to journalConference articlepeer-review

Abstract

High-energy atmospheric muon neutrinos are detected by the IceCube Neutrino Observatory with a high rate of almost a hundred thousand events per year. Being mainly produced in meson decays in cosmic-ray-induced air showers in the upper atmosphere, the flux of these neutrinos is expected to depend on atmospheric conditions and thus features a seasonal variation. The correlation between temperature fluctuations and variations of the neutrino rates can be described with a slope parameter α, whose previous measurement with 6 years of IceCube data indicated a discrepancy to theoretical expectations. In this work, we present an update of the previous analysis, extending the statistics to 12-years of IceCube data, as well as adding a region in the Northern Hemisphere to the analysis. We estimate the slope parameter in the Southern Hemisphere to be α = 0.325 ± 0.022, which confirms the previous observation of the tension between the theoretical predictions and experimental measurements with significance > 3σ. Furthermore, the seasonal variation in the Northern Hemisphere has also been observed for the first time, with α = 0.731 ± 0.222. Investigations into systematic effects reveal that the observations not only show a weaker correlation compared to the predictions, but also deviate from the expected linear relation between the atmospheric neutrino flux and the atmospheric temperature.

Original languageEnglish
Article number241
JournalProceedings of Science
Volume501
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 30 2025
Event39th International Cosmic Ray Conference, ICRC 2025 - Geneva, Switzerland
Duration: Jul 15 2025Jul 24 2025

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