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A multi-objective physics-informed machine learning framework for landslide susceptibility mapping

  • Hongzhi Cui
  • , Te Pei
  • , Naresh Devineni
  • , Yingli Tian
  • , Chaopeng Shen
  • , Jian Ji
  • Shaoxing University
  • City University of New York
  • Pennsylvania State University
  • Hohai University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

2 Scopus citations

Abstract

Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) is essential for regional geohazard assessment. However, conventional data-driven models often fail to capture slope-failure mechanisms and produce scientifically inconsistent predictions, particularly in regions with complex geology or limited data. This study proposes a novel physics-informed machine learning (PIML) framework that formulates LSM as a multi-objective optimisation problem. A positive-unlabelled (PU) bagging strategy identifies reliable non-landslide samples, and model training jointly minimises three complementary losses: a supervised loss ensuring predictive accuracy, a physical-consistency loss constraining monotonic relationships with the factor of safety (FoS), and a risk-consistency loss constraining monotonic relationships with the probability of failure (PoF). The FoS and PoF, derived from the simplified transient infiltration model (STIM) and the first-order reliability method (FORM), are incorporated into model training to enforce scientific consistency. A case study of rainfall-induced landslides in Gansu Province, China, shows that the proposed framework achieves Pareto-optimal trade-offs between accuracy and scientific consistency. Compared with the baseline, the optimal PIML model improved average AUC (0.882 vs. 0.870) under spatial cross-validation, reduced inconsistency by 73%, and outperformed the physically based probabilistic model. These results highlight that embedding geotechnical knowledge into ML produces susceptibility maps that are both accurate and scientifically meaningful.

Original languageEnglish
JournalGeorisk
DOIs
StateAccepted/In press - 2026

Keywords

  • Landslide susceptibility mapping
  • first order reliability method (FORM)
  • physically-based model
  • physics-informed machine learning
  • probability of failure

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