An evaluation of observer monitoring program designs for Chinese tuna longline fisheries in the Pacific Ocean using computer simulations

This paper evaluates the performance of different observer coverage rates and 9 possible sampling designs to estimate via computer simulation the total catch of target and non-target species for Chinese tuna longline fisheries in the Pacific Ocean. The stratified random samplings include different stratification schemes (based on target species or fishing areas) with different strategies for allocating observers. The observer data from 103 vessels between 2010 and 2019 were assumed to be the “true” sampling population. We concluded that the accuracy of catch estimates had a significant positive relationship with species detectability and observer coverage rate. On average, the accuracy improved by 50% when the coverage rate increases from 5 to 20%. Current simple random sampling in Chinese tuna longline fisheries is less efficient for monitoring many species. Stratified sampling designs based on the target species tended to yield the most accurate estimates of the total catch. Allocating the observers based on the scale of the fleets in different stratum seemed to be less efficient. The proportion of observers between different fleets should be adjusted according to different monitoring objectives. In general, a large proportion of observers are recommended to be allocated onboard vessels targeting bigeye tuna (Thunnus obesus). This study has the potential to have a significant contribution to future designs of the observer monitoring programs in Chinese tuna longline fishery and many other fisheries.