Association of suPAR, ST2, and galectin-3 with eGFR decline and mortality in patients with advanced heart failure with reduced ejection fraction

Patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) are at risk for chronic kidney disease (CKD). Elevated levels of circulating biomarkers soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR), galectin-3, soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (ST2), and N-terminal prohormone B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) are associated with CKD progression and mortality. The predictive value of these biomarkers in a population with HFrEF and kidney disease is relatively unknown. We sought to determine whether these biomarkers were associated with longitudinal trajectory of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in HFrEF and assess their association with mortality using a joint model to account for competing risks of ventricular assist device (VAD) implantation and heart transplantation. We included participants from the Registry Evaluation of Vital Information for Ventricular Assist Devices in Ambulatory Life with repeated eGFR measures over 2 years. Of 309 participants, mean age was 59 years, median eGFR 60 ml/min/1.73 m², 45 participants died, 33 received VAD, and 25 received orthotopic heart transplantation. Higher baseline serum standardized suPAR (β coefficient = −0.36 √(ml/min/1.73 m²), 95% confidence interval (−0.48 to −0.24), p < 0.001), standardized galectin-3 (−0.14 √(ml/min/1.73 m²) (−0.27 to −0.02), p = 0.02), and log NT-proBNP (−0.23 √(ml/min/1.73 m²) (−0.31 to −0.15), p < 0.001) were associated with eGFR decline. ST2 and log NT-proBNP were associated with mortality. Higher baseline suPAR, galectin-3, and NT-proBNP are associated with eGFR decline in patients with HFrEF. Only ST2 and NT-proBNP are associated with greater mortality after controlling for other factors including change in eGFR. These biomarkers may provide prognostic value for kidney disease progression in HFrEF and inform candidacy for advanced heart failure therapies.