@inproceedings{d3461866c36b4bea8f2256053157e7c3,
title = "Baseline and target values for PV forecasts: Toward improved solar power forecasting",
abstract = "Accurate solar power forecasting allows utilities to get the most out of the solar resources on their systems. To truly measure the improvements that any new solar forecasting methods can provide, it is important to first develop (or determine) baseline and target solar forecasting at different spatial and temporal scales. This paper aims to develop baseline and target values for solar forecasting metrics. These were informed by close collaboration with utility and independent system operator partners. The baseline values are established based on state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction models and persistence models. The target values are determined based on the reduction in the amount of reserves that must be held to accommodate the uncertainty of solar power output.",
keywords = "grid integration, numerical weather prediction, operating reserve, ramp forecasting, solar power forecasting",
author = "Jie Zhang and Hodge, \{Bri Mathias\} and Joseph Simmons and Siyuan Lu and Hamann, \{Hendrik F.\} and Edwin Campos and Brad Lehman and Venkat Banunarayanan",
note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2015 IEEE.; IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting, PESGM 2015 ; Conference date: 26-07-2015 Through 30-07-2015",
year = "2015",
month = sep,
day = "30",
doi = "10.1109/PESGM.2015.7286239",
language = "English",
series = "IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting",
publisher = "IEEE Computer Society",
booktitle = "2015 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting, PESGM 2015",
}