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Cigarette smoking and pancreatic cancer: A pooled analysis from the pancreatic cancer cohort consortium

  • Shannon M. Lynch
  • , Alina Vrieling
  • , Jay H. Lubin
  • , Peter Kraft
  • , Julie B. Mendelsohn
  • , Patricia Hartge
  • , Federico Canzian
  • , Emily Steplowski
  • , Alan A. Arslan
  • , Myron Gross
  • , Kathy Helzlsouer
  • , Eric J. Jacobs
  • , Andrea Lacroix
  • , Gloria Petersen
  • , Wei Zheng
  • , Demetrius Albanes
  • , Laufey Amundadottir
  • , Sheila A. Bingham
  • , Paolo Boffetta
  • , Marie Christine Boutron-Ruault
  • Stephen J. Chanock, Sandra Clipp, Robert N. Hoover, Kevin Jacobs, Karen C. Johnson, Charles Kooperberg, Juhua Luo, Catherine Messina, Domenico Palli, Alpa V. Patel, Elio Riboli, Xiao Ou Shu, Laudina Rodriguez Suarez, Gilles Thomas, Anne Tjønneland, Geoffrey S. Tobias, Elissa Tong, Dimitrios Trichopoulos, Jarmo Virtamo, Weimin Ye, Kai Yu, Anne Zeleniuch-Jacquette, H. Bas Bueno-De-Mesquita, Rachael Z. Stolzenberg-Solomon
  • National Institutes of Health
  • National Institute of Public Health and the Environment
  • Harvard University
  • German Cancer Research Center
  • Information Management Services, Inc.
  • New York University
  • University of Minnesota Twin Cities
  • Mercy Medical Center Baltimore
  • American Cancer Society
  • Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center
  • Mayo Clinic Rochester, MN
  • Vanderbilt University
  • University of Cambridge
  • Institut national de la santé et de la recherche médicale
  • George W. Comstock Center for Public Health Research and Prevention
  • Bioinformed Consulting Services
  • SAIC
  • University of Tennessee Health Science Center
  • Karolinska Institutet
  • Stony Brook University
  • Centro Per Lo Studio E La Prevenzione Oncologica
  • Imperial College London
  • Health and Health Care Services Council
  • Danish Cancer Society
  • University of California at Davis
  • National and Kapodistrian University of Athens
  • International Agency for Research on Cancer
  • National Institute for Health and Welfare

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

312 Scopus citations

Abstract

Smoking is an established risk factor for pancreatic cancer; however, detailed examination of the association of smoking intensity, smoking duration, and cumulative smoking dose with pancreatic cancer is limited. The authors analyzed pooled data from the international Pancreatic Cancer Cohort Consortium nested case-control study (1,481 cases, 1,539 controls). Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals were calculated by using unconditional logistic regression. Smoking intensity effects were examined with an excess odds ratio model that was linear in pack-years and exponential in cigarettes smoked per day and its square. When compared with never smokers, current smokers had a significantly elevated risk (odds ratio (OR)=1.77, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.38, 2.26). Risk increased significantly with greater intensity (≥30 cigarettes/day: OR=1.75, 95% CI: 1.27, 2.42), duration (≥50 years: OR=2.13, 95% CI: 1.25, 3.62), and cumulative smoking dose (≥40 pack-years: OR=1.78, 95% CI: 1.35, 2.34). Risk more than 15 years after smoking cessation was similar to that for never smokers. Estimates of excess odds ratio per pack-year declined with increasing intensity, suggesting greater risk for total exposure delivered at lower intensity for longer duration than for higher intensity for shorter duration. This finding and the decline in risk after smoking cessation suggest that smoking has a late-stage effect on pancreatic carcinogenesis.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)403-413
Number of pages11
JournalAmerican Journal of Epidemiology
Volume170
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - Aug 2009

Keywords

  • Pancreas
  • Pancreatic neoplasms
  • Smoking
  • Tobacco use cessation

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