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Improving movie gross prediction through news analysis

  • Stony Brook University

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

87 Scopus citations

Abstract

Traditional movie gross predictions are based on numerical and categorical movie data from The Internet Movie Database (IMDB). In this paper, we use the quantitative news data generated by Lydia, our system for large-scale news analysis, to help people to predict movie grosses. By analyzing two different models (regression and k-nearest neighbor models), we find models using only news data can achieve similar performance to those using IMDB data. Moreover, we can achieve better performance by using the combination of IMDB data and news data. Further, the improvement is statistically significant.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings - 2009 IEEE/WIC/ACM International Conference on Web Intelligence, WI 2009
Pages301-304
Number of pages4
DOIs
StatePublished - 2009
Event2009 IEEE/WIC/ACM International Conference on Web Intelligence, WI 2009 - Milano, Italy
Duration: Sep 15 2009Sep 18 2009

Publication series

NameProceedings - 2009 IEEE/WIC/ACM International Conference on Web Intelligence, WI 2009
Volume1

Conference

Conference2009 IEEE/WIC/ACM International Conference on Web Intelligence, WI 2009
Country/TerritoryItaly
CityMilano
Period09/15/0909/18/09

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