Landscape patterns of an aquatic invader: Assessing dispersal extent from spatial distributions

Assessing the spatial distribution of organisms across landscapes is a key step toward determining processes that produce observed patterns. The spatial distribution of an invasive aquatic mollusk, the zebra mussel (Dreissena polymorpha), was examined in two lake-rich areas (Belarus and midwestern United States) with contrasting invasion histories. Spatial distribution patterns of invaded lakes were determined using Ripley's K. Aggregation of invaded lakes was found at similar spatial extents (< 50 km) in both regions; segregation was found at spatial extents > 120 km in Belarus. The observed spatial extent of aggregation likely reflected the scale of secondary geographic spread, whereas the scale of long-distance dispersal events was reflected by the spatial extent of segregation. Isolated Belarus lakes were less likely to be invaded than those connected by waterways. Although one-dimensional aggregation of invaded lakes along connected Belarus waterways was not observed, nearest neighbor analysis indicated that zebra mussel dispersal occurred at distances < 15 km within these waterways. Based on observed spatial pattern, we concluded that zebra mussels have not yet saturated European and North American lake landscapes, including many suitable lakes. Similar distribution patterns of invaded lakes in Belarus and North America suggest that similar processes have influenced zebra mussel spread in both landscapes.