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Optimal crude oil procurement under fluctuating price in an oil refinery

  • Ruoran Chen
  • , Tianhu Deng
  • , Simin Huang
  • , Ruwen Qin
  • Tsinghua University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

29 Scopus citations

Abstract

In this paper, we study the optimal procurement and operation of an oil refinery. The crude oil prices follow geometric Brownian motion processes with correlation. We build a multiperiod inventory problem where each period involves an operation problem such as separation or blending. The decisions are the amount of crude oils to purchase and the amount of oil products to produce. We employ approximate dynamic programming methods to solve this multiperiod multiproduct optimization problem. Numerical results reveal that this complex problem can be approximately solved with little loss of optimality. Further, we find that the approximate solution significantly outperforms a set of myopic policies that are currently used.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)438-445
Number of pages8
JournalEuropean Journal of Operational Research
Volume245
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - 2015

Keywords

  • Fluctuating price
  • Procurement
  • Refinery operation
  • Risk management
  • Uncertainty modelling

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