Outcomes for untreated individuals involved in randomized trials of alcohol treatment

Summarizing the relative effects of different treatments for alcohol use disorders is challenging because there is no standard treatment against which experimental treatments can be contrasted and comparisons to no-treatment control groups are rare. As alternative reference points, we examined outcomes and improvement for untreated participants (i.e., those in wait-list, no-treatment, and placebo conditions) in randomized trials of alcohol treatment over the last three decades. At followup, the average abstinence rate was 21% (n = 17 studies) and the mean level of alcohol consumption was 31 drinks per week (n = 29 studies). The reduction in drinking from baseline was .19 of a SD unit, or a 14% decrease from a baseline mean of 37 drinks per week (n = 17 studies). These values provide approximations of success and improvement that an active treatment for alcohol use disorders should surpass to be considered more beneficial than no treatment.