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Statistical and empirical relationships between tornado intensity and both topography and land cover using rapid-scan radar observations and a GIS

  • Jana B. Houser
  • , Nathaniel McGinnis
  • , Kelly M. Butler
  • , Howard B. Bluestein
  • , Jeffrey C. Snyder
  • , Michael M. French
  • Ohio University
  • National Weather Service
  • National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
  • University of Oklahoma

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

20 Scopus citations

Abstract

This study presents an investigation into relationships among topographic elevation, surface land cover, and tornado intensity using rapid scan, mobile Doppler radar observations of four tornadoes from the U.S. Central Plains. High spatiotemporal resolution observations of tornadic vortex signatures from the radar's lowest elevation angle data (in most cases ranging from;100 to 350 m above ground level) are coupled with digital elevation model (DEM) and 2011 National Land Cover Database (NLCD) data using a geographic information system (GIS). The relationships between 1) tornado intensity and topographic elevation or surface roughness and 2) changes in tornado intensity and changes in topographic elevation or surface roughness are investigated qualitatively, and statistical relationships are quantified and analyzed using a bootstrap permutation method for individual case studies and all cases collectively. Results suggest that there are statistically significant relationships for individual cases, but the relationships defy generalization and are different on a case-by-case basis, which may imply that they are coincidental, indicating a null correlation.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)4313-4338
Number of pages26
JournalMonthly Weather Review
Volume148
Issue number10
DOIs
StatePublished - Oct 2020

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