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The Future of Midlatitude Cyclones

  • Jennifer L. Catto
  • , Duncan Ackerley
  • , James F. Booth
  • , Adrian J. Champion
  • , Brian A. Colle
  • , Stephan Pfahl
  • , Joaquim G. Pinto
  • , Julian F. Quinting
  • , Christian Seiler
  • University of Exeter
  • Met Office
  • City University of New York
  • Free University of Berlin
  • Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
  • Environment and Climate Change Canada

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articlepeer-review

138 Scopus citations

Abstract

Purpose of Review: This review brings together recent research on the structure, characteristics, dynamics, and impacts of extratropical cyclones in the future. It draws on research using idealized models and complex climate simulations, to evaluate what is known and unknown about these future changes. Recent Findings: There are interacting processes that contribute to the uncertainties in future extratropical cyclone changes, e.g., changes in the horizontal and vertical structure of the atmosphere and increasing moisture content due to rising temperatures. Summary: While precipitation intensity will most likely increase, along with associated increased latent heating, it is unclear to what extent and for which particular climate conditions this will feedback to increase the intensity of the cyclones. Future research could focus on bridging the gap between idealized models and complex climate models, as well as better understanding of the regional impacts of future changes in extratropical cyclones.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)407-420
Number of pages14
JournalCurrent Climate Change Reports
Volume5
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 1 2019

Keywords

  • CMIP models
  • Climate change
  • Extratropical cyclones
  • Idealized model
  • Windstorms

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