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Uncertainties in carbon dioxide radiative forcing in atmospheric general circulation models

  • R. D. Cess
  • , M. H. Zhang
  • , G. L. Potter
  • , H. W. Barker
  • , R. A. Colman
  • , D. A. Dazlich
  • , A. D. Del Genio
  • , M. Esch
  • , J. R. Fraser
  • , V. Galin
  • , W. L. Gates
  • , J. J. Hack
  • , W. J. Ingram
  • , J. T. Kiehl
  • , A. A. Lacis
  • , H. Le Treut
  • , Z. X. Li
  • , X. Z. Liang
  • , J. F. Mahfouf
  • , B. J. McAvaney
  • V. P. Meleshko, J. J. Morcrette, D. A. Randall, E. Roeckner, J. F. Royer, A. P. Sokolov, P. V. Sporyshev, K. E. Taylor, W. C. Wang, R. T. Wetherald

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

74 Scopus citations

Abstract

Global warming, caused by an increase in the concentrations of greenhouse gases, is the direct result of greenhouse gas-induced radiative forcing. When a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide is considered, this forcing differed substantially among 15 atmospheric general circulation models. Although there are several potential causes, the largest contributor was the carbon dioxide radiation parameterizations of the models.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1252-1255
Number of pages4
JournalScience
Volume262
Issue number5137
DOIs
StatePublished - 1993

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